Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000758 0.000861 0.000969 0.001091 0.001226 0.001369 0.001532
2025-08-17 0.000589 0.000730 0.000890 0.001081 0.001305 0.001555 0.001856
2025-08-24 0.000484 0.000639 0.000821 0.001050 0.001327 0.001650 0.002050
2025-08-31 0.000404 0.000564 0.000761 0.001018 0.001340 0.001725 0.002217
2025-09-07 0.000354 0.000519 0.000731 0.001015 0.001382 0.001832 0.002418
2025-09-14 0.000314 0.000483 0.000707 0.001016 0.001425 0.001938 0.002620
2025-09-21 0.000278 0.000447 0.000678 0.001007 0.001451 0.002021 0.002793
2025-09-28 0.000244 0.000411 0.000646 0.000990 0.001465 0.002086 0.002942
2025-10-05 0.000229 0.000400 0.000648 0.001018 0.001539 0.002230 0.003196
2025-10-12 0.000213 0.000387 0.000644 0.001037 0.001601 0.002360 0.003432
2025-10-19 0.000191 0.000362 0.000622 0.001028 0.001621 0.002432 0.003593
2025-10-26 0.000171 0.000336 0.000597 0.001012 0.001630 0.002488 0.003733
2025-11-02 0.000158 0.000324 0.000590 0.001024 0.001680 0.002603 0.003956
2025-11-09 0.000145 0.000308 0.000578 0.001026 0.001715 0.002697 0.004154
2025-11-16 0.000126 0.000281 0.000545 0.000993 0.001696 0.002713 0.004241
2025-11-23 0.000110 0.000257 0.000515 0.000963 0.001680 0.002731 0.004329
2025-11-30 0.000100 0.000243 0.000502 0.000960 0.001704 0.002808 0.004503
2025-12-07 0.000092 0.000232 0.000492 0.000961 0.001734 0.002893 0.004691
2025-12-14 0.000083 0.000219 0.000477 0.000952 0.001746 0.002953 0.004841
2025-12-21 0.000074 0.000204 0.000458 0.000936 0.001747 0.002994 0.004965
2025-12-28 0.000071 0.000202 0.000464 0.000963 0.001818 0.003143 0.005251
2026-01-04 0.000068 0.000199 0.000465 0.000981 0.001876 0.003273 0.005511
2026-01-11 0.000061 0.000188 0.000452 0.000972 0.001887 0.003331 0.005664